Total for the last 12 months
number of access : ?
number of downloads : ?
ID 115429
Title Alternative
Predictors associated with poor outcomes
Author
Omura, Tomoya Tokushima University|Naruto-Yamakami Hospital
Shiba, Atsushi Naruto-Yamakami Hospital
Nishioka, Shota Naruto-Yamakami Hospital
Naoe, Mitsugu Naruto-Yamakami Hospital
Keywords
convalescent rehabilitation ward
poor outcome
predictive factors
stratum-specific likelihood ratio
Content Type
Journal Article
Description
This study aimed to determine predictive factors associated with poor outcomes among older adult inpatients in the convalescent rehabilitation ward. We also examined the validity of factors that were identified as predictive of poor outcomes. Study subjects were 104 older adult inpatients in the convalescent rehabilitation ward, divided into two groups based on outcome at discharge. Group I included the outcomes of death or transfer to an acute care hospital and Group II included all other outcomes. Data were retrospectively collected from older adults’ medical records, including: activities of daily living, swallowing grade, nutritional index, and blood biochemistry data. Logistic regression analysis was used to extract predictive factors associated with poor outcomes. Next, we calculated the Stratum-specific likelihood ratio (SSLR) for each extracted factor. Two items were extracted as predictive factors with AUCs ≥ 0.7 : N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and days from onset to hospitalization. The SSLRs showed the risk for a poor outcome increased when NT-proBNP was ≥ 2500 pg / ml, and when there were ≥ 35 days from onset to hospitalization. Our findings suggest these predictive factors provide a valid index to predict poor outcomes among older adults from the early stage of admission.
Journal Title
The Journal of Medical Investigation
ISSN
13496867
13431420
NCID
AA11166929
Publisher
Tokushima University Faculty of Medicine
Volume
67
Issue
3-4
Start Page
304
End Page
310
Sort Key
304
Published Date
2020-08
EDB ID
DOI (Published Version)
URL ( Publisher's Version )
FullText File
language
eng
TextVersion
Publisher
departments
Oral Sciences